Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000735 0.000840 0.000952 0.001079 0.001218 0.001367 0.001537
2024-12-22 0.000566 0.000710 0.000874 0.001073 0.001305 0.001567 0.001882
2024-12-29 0.000472 0.000632 0.000822 0.001062 0.001353 0.001692 0.002114
2025-01-05 0.000407 0.000577 0.000787 0.001063 0.001410 0.001825 0.002356
2025-01-12 0.000350 0.000523 0.000747 0.001050 0.001441 0.001922 0.002550
2025-01-19 0.000301 0.000474 0.000706 0.001030 0.001460 0.002000 0.002721
2025-01-26 0.000275 0.000454 0.000700 0.001053 0.001531 0.002145 0.002975
2025-02-02 0.000251 0.000433 0.000691 0.001070 0.001595 0.002280 0.003220
2025-02-09 0.000221 0.000399 0.000660 0.001053 0.001609 0.002347 0.003378
2025-02-16 0.000193 0.000366 0.000627 0.001031 0.001615 0.002403 0.003519
2025-02-23 0.000177 0.000350 0.000619 0.001043 0.001667 0.002521 0.003745
2025-03-02 0.000162 0.000334 0.000608 0.001050 0.001711 0.002629 0.003959
2025-03-09 0.000140 0.000304 0.000574 0.001020 0.001702 0.002663 0.004074
2025-03-16 0.000121 0.000276 0.000541 0.000991 0.001690 0.002693 0.004185
2025-03-23 0.000109 0.000260 0.000527 0.000988 0.001718 0.002778 0.004373
2025-03-30 0.000098 0.000246 0.000514 0.000987 0.001748 0.002867 0.004567
2025-04-06 0.000087 0.000229 0.000495 0.000975 0.001760 0.002929 0.004724
2025-04-13 0.000076 0.000212 0.000473 0.000956 0.001760 0.002972 0.004852
2025-04-20 0.000072 0.000208 0.000475 0.000977 0.001824 0.003112 0.005125
2025-04-27 0.000067 0.000202 0.000474 0.000994 0.001880 0.003242 0.005385
2025-05-04 0.000059 0.000188 0.000455 0.000977 0.001882 0.003287 0.005521
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000174 0.000435 0.000957 0.001875 0.003320 0.005637
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000168 0.000433 0.000968 0.001923 0.003437 0.005881